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Variation Among Early North American Crania R.L. Jantz1 and Douglas W. Owsley2
Variation Among Early North American Crania R.L. Jantz1 * and Douglas W. Owsley2 1 Department of Anthropology, University of Tennessee, Knoxville, Tennessee 37996-0720 2 Department of Anthropology, National Museum of Natural History, Smithsonian Institution, Washington, DC 20560 KEYWORDS Paleoamericans; cranial morphometrics; New World ABSTRACT The limited morphometric work on early American crania to date has treated them asasingle, temporally defined group. This paper addresses the ques- tionofwhether there is significant variability among an- cientAmerican crania. A sample of 11 crania (Spirit Cave, Wizards Beach, Browns Valley, Pelican Rapids, Prospect, Wet Gravelmale, Wet Gravel female, Medicine Crow, Turin, Lime Creek, and Swanson Lake) dating from the early to mid Holocene was available. Some have recent accelerator mass spectrometry (AMS) dates, while others are dated geologically or archaeologically. All are in excess of 4500BP, and most are 7000 BP or older. Measurements follow the definitions of Howells[(1973) Cranial variation in man, Cambridge: Harvard University). Some crania are incomplete, but 22 measurements were common to all fossils. Cranial variation was examined by calculating the Mahalanobis distance between each pair of fossils, usinga pooled within sample covariance matrix estimated from the data of Howells. The distance relationships among crania suggest the presence of at least three distinct groups: 1) a middle Archaic Plains group (Turinand Med- icineCrow), 2) a Paleo/Early Archaic Great Lakes/Plains group (Browns Valley, Pelican Rapids, Lime Creek), and 3) a spatially and temporally heterogeneous group that includes the Great Basin/Pacific Coast (Spirit Cave, Wiz- ardsBeach, Prospect) and Nebraska (Wet Gravel specimens     and Swanson Lake). These crania were also compared to Howells'worldwide recent sample, which was expanded by including six ad- ditionalAmerican Indian samples. None of the fossils, except for the Wet Gravel male, shows any particular affinity to recent Native Americans; their greatest simi- laritiesarewith Europe, Polynesia, or East Asia. Several crania would be atypical in any recent population for which we have data. Browns Valley, Pelican Rapids, and Lime Creekarethemost distinctive. They provide evi- denceforthe presence of an early population that bears no similarity to the morphometric pattern of recent American Indians or even to crania of comparable date in other regions of the continent. The heterogeneity among early American crania makes it inadvisable to pool them for purposes of morphometric analysis. Whether this heterogeneity results from differ- entearly migrations or one highly differentiated popula- tioncannotbe established from our data. Our results are inconsistent with hypotheses of an ancestor-descendent relationship between early and late Holocene American populations. They suggest that the pattern of cranial vari- ationisofrecent origin, at least in the Plains region. Am JPhysAnthropol 114:146-155,2001. © 2001 Wiley-Liss, Inc. Native NorthAmerican populations have vari- ouslybeenviewed as biologically uniform, or ex- tremelydiverse. Stewart (1973) emphasized the phenotypic uniformity, while Hooton (1930) saw Caucasoid, Melanesoid, and Negritoid"types"in the American population. Recent work with classical markers (Cavalli-Sforzaetal., 1994), dentition (Haydenblit, 1996), and anthropometry (Ousley, 1995) has demonstrated that modern native popula- tionsarestrongly differentiated. It is obviously im- portantto understand the extent and patterning of variation among New World populations, since this context of diversity is the framework against which models for the peopling of the New World must be tested. A puzzling aspect of the discussion concerning the origin and history of New World populations is how little the study of ancient crania has contributed. This lack of emphasis is in large part due to the influence of Hrdlicka (1937a,b), who repeatedly attempted        to show that the morphology of supposed early American crania fell within the range of vari- ationofrecent Indians, and could not be distin- guishedfromthem (Owsleyand Jantz, 1999a). Fortunately,          a renewed interest in the crania of early Americans has occurred, using a modern analytical framework based on multivariate statistics. Initial studies have shown that thecraniometric pattern departs from contemporary American Indians, often in the direction of European or Southern Pacific Grant sponsor: Calhoun Foundation; Grant sponsor: National Mu- seumofNatural History. We thank Roberta Hall for inviting us to participate in the AAPA symposium"Biological Variation and Population Origins in the Amer- icasandAustralia,"at which aversion of this paper was presented in 1998. *Correspondence to: R.L. Jantz, Department of Anthropology, Uni- versityof Tennessee, Knoxville, TN 37996-0720. E-mail: jantz@utkux.utk. edu Received 7December 1998; accepted 21 September 2000. AMERICAN JOURNAL OF PHYSICAL ANTHROPOLOGY 114:146-155 (2001) © 2001 WILEY-LISS, INC.
groups (Steeleand Powell, 1992,1994), or even Af- ricansand Australians (Neves and Pucciarelli, 1991; Neves et al., 1996). What has not yet been approached in asystematic manner is variation among Paleoamerican fossils. This issue is difficult to address, because the sam- plesare individual specimens, and standard statistical      approaches designed to assess variation among samples are inappropriate. This paper addresses that issue as a preliminary step toward understand- ingwhetherthe early New World populations were differentiated. If early populations are relatively homogeneous,           it places a time constraint on the vari- ationobservedin present populations and forces us to consider later events for causation. On the other hand, if the early populations were strongly differentiated,          then the question becomes one of how the ancient diversity relates to recent diversity, and whether continuity with recent populations can be established. MATERIALS AND METHODS Crania Ancient crania available for this analysis are shown in Table 1. The sample includes those early crania that have been measured using the measure- mentprotocolofHowells (1973) (see Measurements, below). The date range includes specimens that are considered by most archaeologists to be marginally "Paleoamerican,"or definitely within the Early Ar- chaicperiod. We did not require that chronometric dates be firmly established, only that the skull falls into the early Holocene, not later than 4500 BP. Several specimens have recent accelerator mass spectrometry (AMS) dates and are accurately dated (Turin, Spirit Cave, Wizards Beach, Browns Valley, and Pelican Rapids). Others have attributed geolog- icaldates, such as the Wet Gravel specimens which were pumped out of a gravel pit. Although direct stratigraphic context is missing, both have a dark stain imparted byapeatlayer, a taphonomic feature shared with Pleistocene fauna from the pit that pro- videsevidencefor temporal association (Frankfort- er, 1950). The Wet Gravel female is especially dark and mineralized, while the male is less so, suggest- ingthatitmightbe more recent. The Prospect burial was stratigraphically positioned below ash from the Mount Mazamaeruption around 7000 BP (Cress- man, 1940). Dates for the remaining crania are primarily       stratigraphic or archaeological and therefore imprecise, but nonetheless are likely to be early. Fossil crania were compared to the world database     by Howells (1989) of recent crania. The Howells samples are mainly from historic populations, and all are post-Neolithic. Only three of Howells'28 sam- plesareNative Americans (Arikara, Santa Cruz, and Peru). We have therefore supplemented the Na- tiveAmerican samples with six historic samples of our own: Blackfoot (n 566), Cheyenne (n 522), Omaha (n 516), Pawnee (n 527), Ponca (n 519), and Sioux(n528). Measurements The general availability of the worldwide cranial database of Howells (1973,1989) has encouraged others to record measurements in the same format. We have followed an expanded version of this pro- tocolforyears (Key, 1983), producing an extensive North American database fully compatible with that ofHowells. Complete measurement sets cannot be obtained on all crania listed in Table 1. All crania except Browns Valley were complete or nearly com- pleteand undistorted. The major reconstruction required       of Browns Valley is attachment of the face, but the base is unreconstructable. The reconstruc- tionbyJenks (1937) of the base is unreliable, as he himself points out. However, Howells'measure- mentscontain considerable redundancy, and it is possible to exclude certain variables and still accu- ratelyquantify morphology. Radii are particularly useful in this regard, since they parallel standard measurements taken from basion. Nasion and bregma radii, for example, are comparable to basion- nasion length and basion-bregma height, respectively,        except that they are taken from the trans- meatal axis rather than basion. In addition, radii quantify lateral facial projections of the upper and mid-face, which are missed in traditional measure- mentsets. The resulting analysis is based on 22 measurements      (Table 2). The designated measurement set quantifies overall length, breadth, facial variation, projections from thetransmeatal axis (radii), and facial projections. Excluded were measurements TABLE1. Early American crania used in this study Specimen Sex Location Date Reference (date; description) Spirit Cave M Nevada 9,415 BP Dansie, 1997; Jantzand Owsley, 1997 Wizards Beach M Nevada 9,225 BP Dansie, 1997; Owsleyand Jantz, 1999b Prospect M Oregon 7,000 BP Cressman, 1940 Wet Gravel F Nebraska Frankforter, 1950; Key, 1983 Wet Gravel M Nebraska Frankforter, 1950; Key, 1983 Browns Valley M Minnesota 8,900 BP MysterandO'Connell, 1997; Jenks, 1937 Pelican Rapids F Minnesota 7,840 BP MysterandO'Connell, 1997; Jenks, 1936 Medicine Crow M S. Dakota 5,500 BP Bass, 1976; Key, 1983 Turin M Iowa 4,720 BP Fisher et al., 1985 Lime Creek M Nebraska Key, 1983 Swanson Lake M Nebraska Key, 1983 EARLY AMERICAN CRANIA 147
missing on anyone of the fossil crania, fraction measurements designed principally to calculate angles,      and difficult measurements possibly subject to error or generally uninformative (for rationale, see Jantzand Owsley, 1997). The specimens in Table 1 were measured in the same system by three observers. Swanson Lake, Lime Creek, Medicine Crow, and the Wet Gravel specimens were measured by Key (1983); Browns Valley and Pelican Rapids were measured by D. Hunt; andTurin, Spirit Cave, Wizards Beach, and Prospect were measured by R. Jantz. All of us learned Howells'system by reading his excellent definitions (Howells, 1973) and refining the tech- niquebytraining on crania that had previously been measured by Howells. Crania from the Sully site in South Dakotacomprised the principal training series,      since they were housed at the University of Tennessee until recently, and constitute one of the three Native American series used by Howellsinhis various morphometric studies. Although we have not conductedaformal interobserver variation analysis,      we are confident that it contributes little to variation among crania. Measurements for Spirit Cave, Wizards Beach, Browns Valley, and Pelican Rapids can be found in Owsleyand Jantz (1999b). Our measurements for the other crania are as yet unpublished. The de- scriptionsofTurin (Fisher et al., 1985) and Medicine Crow (Bass, 1976) contain some measurements of those specimens. Statistical methods Fossil crania present a number of problems that make classical statistical approaches impractical. Each cranium in Table 1 must be considered as having been drawn from a different population, with each group represented byasampleofone. It is therefore not possible to estimate variances and covariances          for use in standard distance and canonical analyses. Several different approaches have been employed with fossil material: 1) crania from similar time periods have been pooled to make a temporally bounded sample (e.g., Key, 1983; Steeleand Powell, 1992,1994); 2) individual crania have been compared      to recent samples (e.g., Howells, 1995); and 3) fossil crania have been compared to one another using a covariance matrix from a large sample of recent crania (e.g., Van Vark, 1995). The first ap- proachdoesnot allow examination of variation among crania. If crania come from populations with substantial metric differences, pooling yields an unrealistic          average configuration. The second ap- proachisusefulin examining whether crania resem- blerecent populations and, if so, which ones. These comparisons allow historical links between fossils and extant populations to be hypothesized, but say little about relationships among fossils. The last approach allows relationships among fossils to be examined, which addresses the question of how dif- ferentiatedthe fossil crania are and whether subpopulations            might be recognized. It requires the as- sumptionthata covariance matrix obtained from recent people applies to fossils. This assumption, although not testable, is reasonable, at least when applied to Holocene epoch remains. In this analysis, the second and third approaches are used. The second approach is well-known in the classification literature, where an unknown is clas- sifiedintothe group to which it shows the smallest Mahalanobis distance. Most statistical package programs      assume that an unknown belongs to one of the reference populations, and the probability that it falls into each one of the reference groups is given as the posterior probability. Mahalanobis D2 has another      important property, namely, to indicate where a given specimen falls in relation to the variability of the reference groups. This construct yields what has been termed the"typicality probability" (Albrecht, 1992). For applications such as the present one, this is more useful than the posterior probability, because      it is obvious that no early American skull derives from a contemporary population, regardless of how similar it maybe. Mahalanobis D2 between a skull and a sample is calculated by: D25~X 2X j !9W 21 ~X 2X j ! where Xis the vector of measurements fora skull, X j is the mean vector for populationj, and Wis the pooled within-sample covariance matrix. D2 can be referred to a chi-square table withp (number of variables) degrees of freedom to obtain the typicality probability (Albrecht, 1992). Mahalanobis D2 between      pairs of fossils can be obtained in the same way: D ij 2 5~X i 2X j !9W 21 ~X i 2X j ! , whereX i andX j are the measurement vectors for fossils i and j, and Wis an appropriate covariance matrix. However, the question of what constitutes an appropriate covariance matrix is problematic. Ideally, the covariance matrix should reflect varia- tionwithingroups with agenetic structure similar to that of populations from which the fossil crania were drawn. Inmost cases we do not know what that population structure was, and it would probably be difficult to find parallels in recent populations in any case. The best solution is to takea conservative approach, using the pooled within-group covariance TABLE2. List of common measurements GOL, glabello-occipital length NAS, nasionsubtense XCB, maximum cranial breadth FRC, frontal chord XFB, maximum frontal breadth FRS, frontalsubtense AUB, auricular breadth PAC, parietal chord NPH, nasion-prosthionheight PAS, parietalsubtense NLH, nasal height NAR, nasion radius NLB, nasal breadth PRR, prosthionradius OBH, orbit height FMR, frontomalare radius OBB, orbit breadth EKR, ectochonchion radius DKB, interorbital breadth ZMR, zygomaxillare radius FMB, bifrontalbreadth VRR, vertex radius 148 R.L. JANTZ ANDD.W. OWSLEY
matrix derived from the 34 recent populations used for comparison. Defrise-Gussenhoven (1967) showed that the D between pairs of individuals drawn randomly froma population will be distributed as= (2p 21) witha variance of 1, where pis the number of dimensions. In the present instancep 522, so the random ex- pectationfortheD between any two crania drawn from the same population is= (2 z 2221) 56.56. This random expectation is used to test whether the distance between pairs of fossil crania is greater than would be expected if they were drawn froma single population. Sexes were pooled by first centering the reference samples on sex-specific means. Fossil crania were then expressed as deviations from appropriate sex means. All computations were performed using software     written by R.L.J. RESULTS Relationships among fossils Table 3presents the matrix of Mahalanobisdis- tances (D) between each pair of crania. Since the random expectation is 6.56, any distance greater than1.65 standard deviations above this value can be considered significant by a one-tailed test. There are 55pairwise distances between 11 crania, 14 of which are significant at the 0.05 level or below. The significant differences are clearly patterned: 5 of the 14 involvedifferences between Browns Valley and other crania, and another 4 involve Pelican Rapids and other crania. The concentration of significant differences in these two crania marks them as the most distinctive. The Lime Creek and Swanson Lake crania account for the remaining significant differences. Of greater interest is the general pattern of rela- tionshipsshownby these crania. A principalcoordi- nates plot of the distances is shown in Figure 1. The crania fall into three groups: 1) Browns Valley, Pel- icanRapids, and Lime Creek are extreme on the first axis; 2) Turinand Medicine Crow are on the opposite end of axis one and are separated on the second axis; and 3) the remaining crania, consisting of the Wet Gravel specimens, Swanson Lake, Prospect,      Wizards Beach, and Spirit Cave, comprisea more centrally located cluster. Spirit Cave is somewhat     removed from this cluster in the direction of the Browns Valley-Pelican Rapids-Lime Creek group on axis one, but is extreme on axis two. The Wet Gravelmale departs from the central cluster in the direction of Turinand Medicine Crow. These visually defined clusters vary in temporal and geographic cohesiveness. Medicine Crow and Turinrepresent Plains Archaic crania. Browns Valley,     Pelican Rapids, and Lime Creek representa Minnesota-Nebraska group. Temporally this group is earlier than the Plains Archaic, assuming that the suspected early date for Lime Creek is confirmed. The last and largest cluster contains crania from the Plains, Great Basin, and Northwest. All dated cra- niainthiscluster are older than 7000 BP. Relationships to recent groups Table 4provides the distance and typicality probability        between each fossil skull and the five recent groups to which it is most similar. They are pre- sentedinorderof increasing distance from recent groups. Several points are noteworthy. The first six fossils (Wet Gravel male, Turin, Wet Gravel female, Wizards Beach, Prospect, and Medicine Crow) fall easily within the range of variation of recent groups. The pattern of similarity to world groups is variable. The two Plains Archaic crania, Turinand Medicine Crow, show no particular resemblance to recent Na- tiveAmericans, and certainly not to those of the Plains. Medicine Crow has no American Indian sam- pleamongitsfive most similar groups. Two non- Plains American Indian groups appear as Turin's third and fourth most similar groups. The only cra- niumwithfive American Indian groups as its near- estneighborsis the Wet Gravel male, while the Wet Gravel female has none. The last five crania would be reluctant members of any recent group. Swanson Lake and Spirit Cave fall on the margins of some recent distributions, but Pelican Rapids, Lime Creek, and Browns Valley, all with extremely low typicality probabilities, would be highly atypical crania in any recent group used here. In general, the 11 fossil crania do not show any particular affinity for the nine Historic period Na- tiveAmerican samples for which we have data. TABLE3. Mahalanobis distances (D) between early American fossil crania1 Turin Prospect Wizard Spirit Pelican Brown MedCr Swan WGravF WGravM Prospect 7.644 Wizard 6.128 5.633 Spirit 7.837 6.401 5.040 Pelican 8.546* 7.956 7.471 6.387 Browns 9.397* 8.514* 8.174 7.342 6.443 MedCrow 6.627 8.013 6.503 8.806* 8.196* 8.525* Swanson 7.951 8.448* 6.134 6.125 8.463* 8.689* 7.200 WetGravF 7.141 5.942 4.960 5.941 8.463* 8.430* 7.396 5.851 WetGravM 7.247 7.262 6.204 6.360 7.981 7.958 7.702 7.873 6.847 LimeCr 8.977* 7.590 6.779 6.863 6.956 5.529 8.685* 7.811 7.228 8.790* 1 Refer toTable 1 for full names and sex of fossil crania. * P , 0.05. EARLY AMERICAN CRANIA 149
These nine American Indian samples represent 26.5%ofthe 34 recent samples used, more than from any other geographical region. Only two fossils fall closest to a Native American sample, with the random    expectation being about three. Taking all five nearest groups for each fossil, 19 of 55 (34.5%) are American Indians, which is slightly higher than the random expectation of 15. Figure 2showsthe principal coordinates plot of the recent groups with the fossils. This plot was constructed from the distances among all groups and the fossils, allowing the fossils to help define the axes, as recommended by Albrecht (1992). It clearly shows the separation of Browns Valley, Pelican Rapids,     and Lime Creek from all recent populations on the first axis. Spirit Cave assumes an intermediate position. These fossils also have low scores on the second axis, particularly Lime Creek and Swanson Lake. This second axis serves to separate recent Plains populations and Siberia from those of Africa andAustralasia, as well as from Lime Creek and Swanson Lake. All other fossils fall closer to or within the cluster of recent populations. Browns Valley, Pelican Rapids, Lime Creek, and, to a lesser extent, Spirit Cave are differentiated on the first axis by the combination of a wide vault base, narrow nose, flat frontal bone, and upper facial forwardness. The Browns Valley cranium was char- acterizedinmuch the same way by Jenks (1937). The second axis stresses the narrow vault, short face, and long parietals of these fossils, particularly Lime Creekand Swanson Lake, as opposed to the wide, short vaults and high faces of recent Plains groups. DISCUSSION This analysis includes five crania that are likely early, but require dating. Until precise dates are available and additional skeletons studied, it is impossible         to fully assess their meaning. All of them came into collections prior to the availability of radiometric          techniques. Likely there are additional skeletons in existing collections that are quite ancient.       Unfortunately, just at the very time when dating technology using small samples is available, some institutions and federal agencies are resisting even minimally invasive chemical or physical analyses.      This restriction impedes understanding of early American population biology. In spite of this limitation, our results allow obser- vationsthat deserve emphasis and have implica- tionsfortheearly peopling of the New World. The most significant finding concerns evidence for what maybe alate Pleistocene/Early Holocene population Fig. 1. Principal coordinates plot of distances among eleven Paleoand Early Archaic crania from North America. 150 R.L. JANTZ ANDD.W. OWSLEY
that was quite differentiated from other early spec- imensandfrom recent populations. Evidence for this population'sexistenceisseen in the Minnesota specimens and possibly Lime Creek as well. Since this population existed far from any point of entry into the New World, it can be argued that it repre- sentsagroup entering the continent before the an- cestorsofrecent American Indians. Just how early depends upon how we model the spread of early immigrants and upon obtaining additional dates, especially for Lime Creek. If the assessment by Howells (1938) of the Torringtoncrania is correct, an Archaic period population with similar features persisted in the region until the last millennium (Agoginoand Galloway, 1963). Whether their differ- entiationfrom other ancient crania can betaken as evidence of their descending from different migrants,        or whether they are simply part of an ex- tremelyvariable early population, cannot be addressed        without better dates and larger samples. Our identification of the morphological uniqueness     of the Minnesota specimens is at odds with all post-Hrdlicka assessments of these fossils (e.g., Smith, 1976; Owsleyand Jantz, 1999a). The exten- sivestudybyJenks (1936) of the Pelican Rapids skull concluded that it possessed a number of prim- itivefeaturesnot found in recent populations, or occurred only in low frequency. Hrdlicka (1937a) responded with an extensive trait by trait comparison,     attempting to show that the Pelican Rapids skull fell within the range of variation of recent Sioux. That sentiment has prevailed until recently in the few post-Hrdlicka assessments of early Amer- icancrania. Even Jenks (1937) suggested that the morphology of the Browns Valley cranium was, apart from certain primitive features, clearly Amer- icanIndian. Recent analyses of North American (Steeleand Powell, 1992,1994; Powelland Rose, 1999) and South American crania (Neves and Pucciarelli, 1991; Neves et al., 1996) consistently show that early American crania are differentiated from recent Native Americans, although these studies have not indicated the distinct nature of the Minnesota crania.     Like Steeleand Powell (1992), we could argue that there is a southern Pacific or European similar- itytosomeofthese crania. Unlike the South Amer- icansituation, there does not seem to be any partic- ularresemblance to southwest Pacific or African populations. The closest example would be the Swanson Lakecranium, which exhibits features such as alveolar prognathism, a wide nasal aperture and interorbital space, guttered nasal sills, anda short upper facial height, features often associated with African and southwest Pacific populations. Swanson Lakeplots closer to these two regional populations than any other cranium in two-dimen- sionalspace (Fig. 2), but the overall morphometric TABLE4. Squared distances (D2) and typicality probabilities of each cranium relative to the five closest modern groups1 Specimens2 West GravelMale Blackfoot Arikara Sioux Pawnee Ponca 15.764 21.215 21.237 23.724 25.309 0.827 0.507 0.506 0.362 0.283 Turin Egypt Norse Peru Santa Cr Tasman 16.014 16.604 18.905 22.060 27.008 0.825 0.785 0.651 0.456 0.211 West GravelFemale Hainan S. Japan Anyang N. Japan Tolai 16.737 19.346 20.668 21.129 21.547 0.778 0.624 0.541 0.513 0.487 Wizard Norse Peru Santa Cruz Sioux Blackfoot 17.182 17.346 19.036 19.164 20.041 0.753 0.744 0.643 0.635 0.581 Prospect Berg Sioux Arikara Pawnee Ainu 21.259 21.845 22.244 22.308 22.805 0.505 0.469 0.445 0.442 0.413 Medicine Crow N. Japan Ainu Moriori Philipp Mokapu 24.316 25.731 25.805 26.385 27.246 0.331 0.263 0.260 0.236 0.202 Swanson Santa Cruz S. Japan Tolai N. Japan Ainu 31.089 33.491 34.003 35.519 35.577 0.094 0.055 0.049 0.034 0.034 Spirit Norse Blackfoot Peru Zalavar Ainu 32.581 33.718 34.278 34.852 35.836 0.068 0.052 0.046 0.041 0.032 Pelican Moriori Norse Ainu Pawnee S. Japan 46.777 47.699 48.038 49.714 49.759 0.002 0.001 0.001 0.001 0.001 Lime Creek N. Japan S. Japan Eskimo Ainu Norse 48.740 50.050 52.423 52.617 53.280 0.001 0.001 0.000 0.000 0.000 Browns Moriori Mokapu Arikara Easter Island Pawnee 51.767 53.377 54.973 56.814 60.805 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 1 Specimens are listed in the order of increasing distance. 2 For the names and sex of the early American crania (in the left column), refer to Table 1. For the others, see Howells (1973). EARLY AMERICAN CRANIA 151
configuration includes only the Tolaiof New Britain as one of its five nearest groups. It is to be expected that the populations from which these crania were drawn would be differentiated,      since they are spatially and temporally distinct.       What is surprising is that this differentiation can be demonstrated with individual crania. Obvi- ouslysamples consisting of individual crania are not as powerful as larger samples in demonstrating variation. That, inturn, suggests that the degree of differentiation is substantial, although we have not yet attempted to assess its magnitude. The hetero- geneityofearly American crania points to the inad- visabilityof pooling them into a single Paleosample for purposes of analysis. It is necessary to understand      variation among Paleosamplesin order to relate cranial variation to models of the peopling of the Americas. The heterogeneity observed among the fossil cra- niainthisstudyis not unique. Van Vark (1994) demonstrated that European Upper Paleolithiccra- niaaremore variable than recent Europeans and even more variable than crania for the entire world. In Asia, Upper Cave 101 and 103, apparently from different levels in the cave (Howells, 1983), exhibit far greater difference than would be expected froma single population (Cornell, 1998). Whether the high degree of variation in Europe or Asia is due to frag- mentedpopulation structure or other processes such as migration cannot now be specified. High variability among early American fossil cra- niamaynotby itself provide evidence of multiple migrations, but it is consistent with an emerging consensus that different populations were involved in the early peopling of North America. MtDNA evidence, often seen as supporting a single migration     (e.g., Merriweatheretal., 1995; Stone and Stoneking, 1998), may also be interpreted as supporting        multiple migrations (Schurretal., 1999; Schurrand Wallace, 1999). MtDNAhaplogroup X, now recognized as one of the founding New World haplogroups, suggests ancient connections with Europe     (Brown et al., 1998; Schurrand Wallace, 1999; Smith et al., 1999), as does lithic point technology (Stanford and Bradley, 2000). Haplogroup Bis dis- tributedinAsia and America in away that suggests it may have arrived via a coastal route. There is growing realization that the pattern of cranial morphology seen inmost regions of the world is relatively recent (Sarich, 1997). The limited avail- Fig. 2. Canonical plot of world populations and early American fossil crania. 152 R.L. JANTZ ANDD.W. OWSLEY
able evidence suggests that early Asians such as the Upper Cavespecimens and Liujiangfrom China (Howells, 1995; Kammingaand Wright, 1988), and the Gua Gunung specimen from Malaysia (Mat- sumuraandZuraina, 1999), are not very similar to recent Asians. Gua Gununghasbeen judged Australian-like             (Matsumuraand Zuraina, 1999), and recent morphometric analyses of Upper Cave have argued that they are unlikely ancestors for recent Chinese (Van Varkand Dijkema, 1988; Kamminga and Wright, 1988; Cornell, 1998). Recent agricul- turalexpansions have probably erased much of the earlier variation present in these regions. The Neolithic       expansions and later migrations in Europe are well-known and are widely considered to be respon- sibleforthe recent pattern of genetic variation and cranial variation (Sokaland Uytterschaut, 1987; Barbujanietal., 1995). In East Asia, expansion of rice agriculturists had a similar effect. Van Vark andDijkema (1988) see Neolithic replacement of the Upper Cavepeoples as the most reasonable explanation       of the morphometric difference. Schurretal. (1999) see Neolithic expansion in Siberia as the most likely explanation of mtDNAhaplotype distribution. When cranial morphology in the Americas achieved its modern form is a question that has yet to be systematically investigated. It has frequently been observed that the earliest immigrants came prior to the emergence in Asia of the derived cranial morphology often termed"Mongoloid" (Angel, 1966; Lahr, 1995; Neves and Puciarelli, 1991; Soto-Heim, 1994; Steeleand Powell, 1992,1999) In our results, several crania exhibit metric profiles that fall easily within the range of variation of recent Native Americans:       Wizards Beach, Prospect, Wet Gravel male, andTurin. Wizards Beach and Prospect are located in the West, where the recent form might be ex- pectedtoappear earliest. The significance of the Wet Gravel male is difficult to assess in the absence ofa firm date. Turin, along with Medicine Crow, are the latest, yet exhibit no close affiliation with any recent Plains group. This is slender evidence, but argues that cranial morphology typical of recent tribes in the Plains had not yet appeared by early to mid Archaic times. Other crania, excluded from the present study because they were too incomplete or data were unavailable,           also illustrate the difference between Plains Archaic period crania and recent tribes. Lov- vornetal. (1999) reported on an Archaic burial with an incomplete cranium from Sidney, Nebraska (C14 date, 4450-4170 BP). They demonstrated that the cranium is atypical of any historic Plains tribe. Their analysis using Fordisc 2.0 (Ousleyand Jantz, 1996) places it most similar to Eskimo; it is ex- tremelylongand high headed. Our own analysis assigns it to Tasmania, a choice Lovvornetal. (1996) apparently disallowed. The Lansing cranium, placed at 5000-6000BPby conventional radiocarbon dates (Bass, 1973), was pronounced by Hrdlicka (1903) to show no differences from recent groups in the region.      It is, however, long, narrow, and high, and atypical of any recent Plains group. Many regions of North America are known to have experienced recent incursions. In the Plains, Cad- doanspeakers expanded northward, displacing the residentSiouan speakers, and Athapascansmoved southward. The latter are thought to have hada large impact on the morphological character of Plains tribes (Neumann, 1969; Ossenberg, 1994), seen most dramatically in the lowering of vault height (Jantzand Willey, 1983). The metric similar- ityofPlains groups with Siberians (Brennanand Howells, 1976) provides evidence of recent expan- sionsoutofAsia. The one Siberian sample in the present data set, the Buriat, has its lowest distances with Omaha, Pawnee, Ponca, Arikara, and Sioux, respectively, rather than with Chinese or Japanese. Aluinsertions (Novicketal., 1998; see also the mi- crosatellitedata of Chuetal., 1998) support the close relationship between recent Amerindians and East Asians. The most parsimonious explanation of these morphological and genetic relationships is that the ancient immigrants have been replaced or assimilated by more recent ones. This is essentially the model advocated by Steeleand Powell (1999 and references therein) after a thorough consideration of the available evidence. ACKNOWLEDGMENTS We thank the following individuals for permission to study crania in their collections: Amy Dansieand Donald Tuohyatthe Nevada State Museum; Susan Mysterand Barbara O'Connellat Hamline University;      and Don Dumondand Guy Tasaatthe Univer- sityofOregon. Dave Hunt reconstructed the Browns Valley cranium, and Lee Meadows Jantzproduced Figures 1and2. Editorial comments were provided by Sandra Schlachtmeyer, Margaret and Malcom Richardson, and Roberta Hall. 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